Identifying Dynamic LATEs with a Static Instrument

Author:

Bruno Ferman, Otávio Tecchio

Keyword:

Economics, Econometrics, Econometrics (econ.EM)

journal:

date:

2023-05-28 16:00:00

Abstract

In many situations, researchers are interested in identifying dynamic effects of an irreversible treatment with a static binary instrumental variable (IV). For example, in evaluations of dynamic effects of training programs, with a single lottery determining eligibility. A common approach in these situations is to report per-period IV estimates. Under a dynamic extension of standard IV assumptions, we show that such IV estimators identify a weighted sum of treatment effects for different latent groups and treatment exposures. However, there is possibility of negative weights. We consider point and partial identification of dynamic treatment effects in this setting under different sets of assumptions.

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